Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Malkin 46.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
45.5% (602)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
50.0% (30)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
100.0% (1)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
47.4% (409)
47.5% (326)
Away
50.0% (360)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
50.8%
49.3%
P2
46.0%
44.7%
P3
48.4%
42.3%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |