Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Compher 48.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 54.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Coyle
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.3% (1,149)
+3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
53.9% (204)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
43.6% (312)
+4.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Coyle
Compher
Home
53.3% (512)
50.7% (872)
Away
51.9% (507)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Coyle
Compher
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
47.8%
47.9%
P3
56.7%
49.0%
OT
38.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |