Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Compher 45.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Coyle
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Coyle
Compher
Last 7: Coyle 4-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Coyle
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
45.8% (847)
+3.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
40.8% (49)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
41.9% (117)
+1.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Compher is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Coyle
Compher
Home
47.4% (409)
45.1% (519)
Away
50.0% (360)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Coyle
Compher
P1
50.8%
45.8%
P2
46.0%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
43.2%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |