Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Compher 51.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 65.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Coyle
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Compher
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.9% (757)
-1.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
54.8% (31)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
35.6% (90)
+9.2%
On power play, Compher has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Coyle
Compher
Home
49.0% (537)
52.4% (429)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Coyle
Compher
P1
48.7%
56.0%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
53.1%
50.6%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |