Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Compher 45.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 51.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 53.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Coyle
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Coyle
Compher
Last 8: Coyle 4-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
45.5% (782)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
44.2% (77)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
41.7% (180)
+1.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Coyle
Compher
Home
54.5% (719)
44.0% (484)
Away
48.8% (758)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Coyle
Compher
P1
51.1%
46.2%
P2
50.0%
44.8%
P3
53.3%
44.2%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |