Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.7% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Coyle
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Stenlund
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (798)
56.2% (605)
-3.8%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
53.2% (47)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
51.8% (305)
-6.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Coyle shoots right. Stenlund is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stenlund
Home
49.0% (537)
57.0% (446)
Away
52.7% (495)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Coyle
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
49.7%
53.2%
P3
53.0%
56.2%
OT
45.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
62.0%▲
52.0%
50.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |