Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.2%). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Coyle
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
58.2% (359)
-5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
47.1% (17)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
42.0% (150)
+6.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stenlund
Home
53.3% (512)
53.6% (261)
Away
51.9% (507)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Coyle
Stenlund
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
47.8%
51.5%
P3
56.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |