Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.4%). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 55.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 53.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coyle
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
54.4% (592)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
42.9% (14)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.1% (229)
-0.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stenlund
Home
54.5% (719)
50.7% (402)
Away
48.8% (758)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Coyle
Stenlund
P1
51.1%
56.5%
P2
50.0%
52.4%
P3
53.3%
45.2%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%