Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 70.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 79.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Coyle
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Coyle
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
58.6% (797)
-9.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
62.5% (24)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
60.5% (233)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Coyle
Stenlund
Home
47.4% (409)
58.6% (548)
Away
50.0% (360)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Coyle
Stenlund
P1
50.8%
60.2%
P2
46.0%
59.1%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
64.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |