Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Eller 50.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
Eller
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Coyle
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Coyle
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
49.4% (518)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
57.6% (33)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
52.8% (108)
-5.9%
On power play, Eller has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
52.5% (238)
49.0% (304)
Away
44.6% (269)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
49.7%
55.5%
P2
49.5%
44.0%
P3
46.3%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |