Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Eller 49.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Coyle
Eller
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Coyle
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Coyle
Eller
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.1% (786)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
45.0% (80)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
43.6% (165)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
51.8% (517)
51.2% (510)
Away
46.7% (583)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
49.2%
50.7%
P2
52.8%
49.0%
P3
44.8%
48.3%
OT
54.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |