Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.3%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Eller 52.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Coyle
Eller
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Coyle
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
52.8% (742)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
67.6% (34)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
46.2% (156)
-2.6%
On power play, Eller has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
54.5% (719)
54.5% (448)
Away
48.8% (758)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
51.1%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
53.3%
53.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |