Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Eller 53.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Eller
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
53.8% (865)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
57.1% (21)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
52.6% (137)
-4.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
53.3% (512)
56.4% (486)
Away
51.9% (507)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
53.8%
55.1%
P2
47.8%
55.3%
P3
56.7%
51.7%
OT
38.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |