Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Eller 55.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
56.5% (434)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
77.8% (9)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
56.5% (46)
-11.7%
On power play, Eller has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
49.0% (537)
53.1% (211)
Away
52.1% (516)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
48.7%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
58.1%
P3
53.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |