Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Scheifele
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
49.3% (649)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
55.7% (183)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
50.0% (16)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
51.8% (517)
52.3% (440)
Away
46.7% (583)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
49.2%
52.3%
P2
52.8%
50.4%
P3
44.8%
51.4%
OT
54.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |