Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Coyle
Scheifele
Last 6: Coyle 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
47.8% (960)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
47.0% (219)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
60.7% (28)
-12.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
53.3% (512)
50.7% (611)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
47.8%
47.3%
P3
56.7%
45.0%
OT
38.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |