Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Coyle
Scheifele
Last 8: Coyle 6-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
48.1% (1,045)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
48.6% (181)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.4% (27)
-0.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
54.5% (719)
52.7% (630)
Away
48.8% (758)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
53.3%
47.5%
OT
57.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |