Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.4%). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 82.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Coyle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
48.7% (981)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
53.2% (250)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
43.2% (37)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Coyle
Scheifele
Home
47.4% (409)
50.0% (672)
Away
50.0% (360)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Coyle
Scheifele
P1
50.8%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
45.1%
P3
48.4%
51.9%
OT
64.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |