Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Coyle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Coyle
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
46.9% (162)
+3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
73.2% (56)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
100.0% (2)
-69.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +69.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Coyle
Duchene
Home
51.8% (517)
58.4% (125)
Away
46.7% (583)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Coyle
Duchene
P1
49.2%
56.9%
P2
52.8%
52.5%
P3
44.8%
51.9%
OT
54.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |