Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Duchene 55.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 61.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Coyle
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
56.5% (566)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
61.3% (62)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
22.2% (9)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Coyle
Duchene
Home
54.5% (719)
56.6% (318)
Away
48.8% (758)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Coyle
Duchene
P1
51.1%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
53.3%
55.6%
OT
57.1%
81.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%