Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Duchene 51.6% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Coyle
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
51.2% (324)
+1.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
60.4% (53)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
16.7% (6)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Coyle
Duchene
Home
49.0% (537)
51.6% (182)
Away
52.1% (516)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Coyle
Duchene
P1
48.7%
49.6%
P2
49.6%
56.2%
P3
53.1%
48.6%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%