Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Backlund 47.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Backlund
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Coyle
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
47.2% (1,002)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
46.7% (150)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (170)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
46.4% (211)
48.3% (633)
Away
38.1% (247)
46.7% (689)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
46.2%
49.2%
P2
39.5%
48.9%
P3
37.0%
45.4%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.9%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2014 | OT | 00:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |