Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Backlund 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 56.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Coyle
Backlund
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
0
Coyle
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Coyle
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
51.0% (1,205)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
59.3% (108)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
42.3% (234)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
54.5% (719)
51.2% (782)
Away
48.8% (758)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
51.1%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
53.3%
49.9%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |