Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Backlund 48.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Backlund
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Coyle
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Coyle
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
50.4% (1,032)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
52.3% (107)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
40.6% (313)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
47.4% (409)
48.7% (749)
Away
50.0% (360)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
50.8%
50.4%
P2
46.0%
50.1%
P3
48.4%
45.8%
OT
64.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |