Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Backlund 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Coyle
Backlund
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Coyle
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Coyle
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.5% (983)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
49.4% (87)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
45.3% (159)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
51.8% (517)
51.6% (653)
Away
46.7% (583)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
52.8%
49.8%
P3
44.8%
51.7%
OT
54.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |