Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Coyle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Backlund
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Coyle
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
51.9% (1,083)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
51.7% (120)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
44.3% (183)
+3.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backlund
Home
53.3% (512)
51.9% (673)
Away
51.9% (507)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Coyle
Backlund
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
47.8%
50.5%
P3
56.7%
51.4%
OT
38.5%
35.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |