Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Dowd 49.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 82.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Coyle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Dowd
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Coyle
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Coyle
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
50.7% (379)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
64.3% (14)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
46.5% (157)
-3.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coyle is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Coyle shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Coyle
Dowd
Home
44.3% (332)
53.7% (244)
Away
48.8% (367)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Coyle
Dowd
P1
47.5%
53.6%
P2
47.5%
44.1%
P3
45.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |