Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 78.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coyle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Coyle
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.2% (835)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
60.0% (10)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
44.0% (350)
-0.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Coyle
Dowd
Home
47.4% (409)
51.5% (619)
Away
50.0% (360)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Coyle
Dowd
P1
50.8%
51.7%
P2
46.0%
51.6%
P3
48.4%
47.0%
OT
64.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |