Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Coyle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
16
(35 meetings)
19
16
Coyle
Thomas
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
8
Coyle
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
5
Coyle
Thomas
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.1% (5,350)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
55.8% (921)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
49.9% (691)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thomas
Home
49.8% (4,835)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Coyle
Thomas
P1
49.4%
50.6%
P2
48.3%
52.9%
P3
48.8%
50.8%
OT
49.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |