Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Coyle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Coyle
Thomas
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
7
Coyle
Thomas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Coyle
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
53.2% (1,166)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
56.9% (262)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
48.4% (221)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thomas
Home
54.5% (719)
51.6% (830)
Away
48.8% (758)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Coyle
Thomas
P1
51.1%
52.7%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
50.6%
OT
57.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |