Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.9%). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Coyle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Coyle
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
53.6% (924)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
55.2% (181)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
44.0% (116)
+4.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thomas
Home
53.3% (512)
53.6% (606)
Away
51.9% (507)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Coyle
Thomas
P1
53.8%
48.2%
P2
47.8%
55.3%
P3
56.7%
55.2%
OT
38.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |