Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Thomas 54.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 80.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 64.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Coyle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
55.3% (990)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
54.2% (190)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
52.5% (158)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thomas
Home
47.4% (409)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Coyle
Thomas
P1
50.8%
55.5%
P2
46.0%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
51.5%
OT
64.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |