Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Thomas 49.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 70.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Coyle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Coyle
Thomas
Last 8: Coyle 7-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
49.0% (910)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
53.5% (142)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
53.3% (75)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thomas
Home
51.8% (517)
47.3% (514)
Away
46.7% (583)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Coyle
Thomas
P1
49.2%
50.4%
P2
52.8%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
51.4%
OT
54.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |