Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 75.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Monahan
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Coyle
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.5% (641)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
62.8% (129)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
33.3% (9)
-3.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
51.8% (517)
53.9% (362)
Away
46.7% (583)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
49.2%
48.0%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
44.8%
54.1%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |