Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Monahan 54.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Coyle
Monahan
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Coyle
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
57.1% (871)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
53.1% (262)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.6% (139)
-1.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
54.5% (719)
55.3% (644)
Away
48.8% (758)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
51.1%
53.9%
P2
50.0%
55.3%
P3
53.3%
54.4%
OT
57.1%
76.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |