Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 83.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Coyle
Monahan
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
7
Coyle
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Coyle
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.4% (853)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
58.6% (174)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
46.5% (144)
-3.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
47.4% (409)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.0% (360)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
50.8%
53.7%
P2
46.0%
52.4%
P3
48.4%
51.6%
OT
64.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |