Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 46-32 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
46
(78 meetings)
32
46
Coyle
Monahan
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
27
Coyle
Monahan
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
16
10
Coyle
Monahan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
9
Coyle
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
53.7% (2,580)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
46.0% (766)
-2.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
49.8% (4,835)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
49.4%
50.9%
P2
48.3%
51.7%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |