Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Coyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Aho
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Coyle
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
48.5% (778)
+4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
63.4% (191)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
50.8% (65)
-2.7%
On even strength, Coyle has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Coyle
Aho
Home
53.3% (512)
51.3% (530)
Away
51.9% (507)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Coyle
Aho
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
51.3%
P3
56.7%
52.1%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |