Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Aho 53.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 83.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Coyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Coyle
Aho
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Coyle
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
0
Coyle
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Coyle
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
51.2% (785)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
63.8% (213)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
57.9% (57)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Coyle
Aho
Home
54.5% (719)
54.9% (548)
Away
48.8% (758)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Coyle
Aho
P1
51.1%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
58.9%
P3
53.3%
50.6%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |