Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Aho 54.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 91.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Coyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
54.5% (870)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
62.4% (266)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
37.1% (62)
+6.3%
On power play, Aho has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Coyle
Aho
Home
47.4% (409)
53.9% (603)
Away
50.0% (360)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Coyle
Aho
P1
50.8%
54.1%
P2
46.0%
55.0%
P3
48.4%
57.4%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |