Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Carter 56.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Tierney
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
Carter
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
57.9% (885)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
61.7% (133)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
45.4% (119)
-8.6%
On power play, Carter has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Tierney
Carter
Home
53.3% (289)
58.2% (543)
Away
45.5% (242)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Tierney
Carter
P1
50.9%
57.5%
P2
46.7%
57.1%
P3
52.1%
55.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |