Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 39-32 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 50.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 69.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Tierney
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
39
(71 meetings)
32
39
Tierney
Carter
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
17
Tierney
Carter
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
16
8
Tierney
Carter
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
14
Tierney
Carter
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
57.3% (1,554)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.3%
On power play, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Tierney
Carter
Home
50.6% (3,270)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Tierney
Carter
P1
49.3%
53.6%
P2
47.7%
52.8%
P3
50.5%
53.1%
OT
47.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2019 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |