Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Carter 58.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 65.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Tierney
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tierney
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Tierney
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
59.7% (727)
-13.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
68.1% (72)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
53.2% (139)
-5.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Tierney
Carter
Home
47.9% (121)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.1% (115)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Tierney
Carter
P1
44.1%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
46.3%
59.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |