Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Carter 60.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 66.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Tierney
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Tierney
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
65.6% (262)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
68.3% (63)
-68.3%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
50.5% (99)
+13.8%
On power play, Carter has a +68.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Tierney
Carter
Home
62.3% (77)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.8% (117)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Tierney
Carter
P1
61.1%
65.3%
P2
60.0%
60.1%
P3
49.1%
63.8%
Final 5 min
62.5%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |