Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Duchene 54.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 80.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Tierney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Tierney
Duchene
Last 9: Tierney 1-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Tierney
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Tierney
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
55.4% (1,013)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
56.3% (192)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
41.2% (17)
+1.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Tierney
Duchene
Home
51.2% (521)
56.2% (642)
Away
50.6% (522)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Tierney
Duchene
P1
49.3%
56.2%
P2
50.4%
56.5%
P3
53.4%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |