Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.5%). Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Duchene 55.6% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tierney
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
56.5% (566)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.3% (62)
-61.3%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
22.2% (9)
+42.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Tierney
Duchene
Home
62.3% (77)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.8% (117)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Tierney
Duchene
P1
61.1%
57.2%
P2
60.0%
55.1%
P3
49.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%