Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 60.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Tierney
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
46.9% (162)
+3.5%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
73.2% (56)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
100.0% (2)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Tierney
Duchene
Home
53.3% (289)
58.4% (125)
Away
45.5% (242)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Tierney
Duchene
P1
50.9%
56.9%
P2
46.7%
52.5%
P3
52.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%