Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 88.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 76.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Tierney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
19
(26 meetings)
7
19
Tierney
Duchene
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
8
Tierney
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
2
Tierney
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
9
Tierney
Duchene
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.9% (10,396)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
49.1% (468)
-2.5%
On even strength, Duchene has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Tierney
Duchene
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Tierney
Duchene
P1
49.3%
54.5%
P2
47.7%
54.5%
P3
50.5%
53.4%
OT
47.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |