Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 81.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tierney
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
53.9% (193)
-7.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
49.2% (65)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
100.0% (1)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tierney
Duchene
Home
47.9% (121)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.1% (115)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Tierney
Duchene
P1
44.1%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
46.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%