Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Mercer 41.8% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 78.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 91.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 81.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Dvorak
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Mercer
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Dvorak
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Mercer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
38.8% (263)
+14.9%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
35.3% (17)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
50.0% (10)
-2.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
53.6% (461)
34.7% (144)
Away
52.9% (507)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
54.1%
32.7%
P2
52.9%
42.7%
P3
53.8%
42.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |